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Manmohan Singh's peace gamble: vision confronts reality (Comment)

Category :India Sub Category :National
2009-08-01 00:00:00
   Views : 315

Considering the ease with which anti-Pakistani feelings can be ratcheted up in India by the opposition parties and sections of the media, it takes a great deal of courage to try to reduce tension and move towards peace. In this respect, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's initiatives in Sharm-el-Sheikh were a bolder venture than even Atal Bihari Vajpayee's bus journey to Lahore a decade ago.

The boldness was all the greater because the Sharm-el-Sheikh meeting was preceded by 26/11 whereas Vajpayee's excursion was followed by the Kargil conflict, the Kandahar hijacking and the attack on parliament. Had it been the other way round, Vajpayee would not have travelled to Lahore at all.

Yet, Manmohan Singh praised his predecessor's overtures to a duplicitous neighbour during his address to parliament. The reason was that Vajpayee had to overcome the strong lobby of Pakistan-baiters in his own Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and in the RSS-led Sangh Parivar, a member of which advised him to go to Lahore in a tank and not in a bus.

The same group in the BJP was active yet again in parliament with a former minister, Yashwant Sinha, even accusing Manmohan Singh of walking over to the Pakistani side.

At the end of the parliamentary debate, however, the reference to Balochistan in the Sharm-el-Sheikh document remained the only point which gave the BJP some solace. Otherwise, Manmohan Singh's reiteration that a return to the negotiating table was not possible till Pakistan acted against its supposedly 'non-state' terrorists left the opposition without any substantial talking point.

In contrast to the BJP's politically-motivated obduracy, what was evident was the reasonableness of Manmohan Singh's stand that, first, war was not an option and, second, that channels of communication could not be shut down even if the interlocutor was perceived to be mendacious.

Hence the prime minister's reference to Ronald Reagan's 'trust, but verify' directive in the context of the American peace initiatives with the Soviet Union. Arguably, the Indian efforts to reach an understanding with Pakistan face even greater obstacles than the Reagan-Gorbachev dialogue.

The reason is that the US knew who it was dealing with in Moscow. India, however, cannot be sure whether President Asif Ali Zardari and Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani are really calling the shots in Islamabad, and not army chief General Pervez Ashfaq Kayani.

India cannot forget that even as Vajpayee and Nawaz Sharif were meeting in Lahore, then Pakistani army chief Gen Pervez Musharraf was preparing for his Kargil misadventure.

Similarly, Kayani's recent comment that the army will bring the Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) under 'control' if India stopped 'messing around' in Balochistan indicates that the links between the military and Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) with the LeT remain intact.




Author :Amulya Ganguli



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